Guarini Institute: U.S. Politics with Eric Terzuolo
In light of the recent, noteworthy developments in U.S. politics, both domestic and international, the Guarini Institute for Public Affairs hosted a briefing event with guest speaker Dr. Eric Terzuolo, US-based adviser, former JCU faculty, and former US diplomat.
Dr. Terzuolo noted that President Trump’s recent performance is causing economic struggles and market instability, due, for example, to tariffs. The rejection of rules and norms, both domestically and internationally, appears to be a defining characteristic of the current administration. This trend is also embodied by figures like Elon Musk, who challenge the established systems. Ultimately, Dr. Terzuolo views the government’s approach as a deliberate dismantling of long-standing structures of governance.
Deprofessionalization and Election Integrity at Risk
Environmental and regulatory protections are being overturned, reinforcing the administration’s preference for a power-driven, realist approach over a rules-based international order. Dr. Terzuolo warned that diplomacy and public administration are undergoing deprofessionalization, with political loyalty replacing expertise. Initiatives such as Project 2025 – an initiative that aims at reconstructing the U.S. federal system – seek to eliminate career professionals in favor of political loyalists, further causing institutional instability.
“Election integrity is also at risk,” said Dr. Terzuolo. Efforts to suppress turnout of Democratic-leaning voters and dismantle cybersecurity protections for elections are alarming. Furthermore, the U.S.’s decision not to conduct offensive cyber operations against Russia weakens its negotiating position. Meanwhile, the Democratic Party remains disorganized and struggles to address its electoral setbacks, while the Republican Party remains unified behind Trump. Dr. Terzuolo suggested that a more centrist Democratic strategy is necessary but seems unlikely.
Aggressiveness in Foreign Policy and Democratic Unrest
Dr. Terzuolo also expressed concerns about the administration’s foreign policy, particularly regarding Ukraine. He suggested that meetings, such as the one with President Zelensky on February 28th, are characterized more by coercion than genuine diplomacy. Domestically, the administration enforces party loyalty through pressure, and the adoption of the unitary executive theory could grant Trump near-dictatorial power, further undermining democracy and the rule of law.
On the global stage, there is speculation about the formation of an international coalition — including Canada, the U.K., and key EU nations — to counter growing instability. However, concerns persist about U.S. alignment with Russia under Trump, raising fears of a destabilized global order. Potential U.S. disengagement from NATO could further damage transatlantic relations, removing a critical platform for international cooperation. Some suggest a European treaty organization as a backup, but such an alliance would be challenging to establish.
Domestically, protests against Trump-era policies may increase, but their effectiveness remains uncertain. Government employees fear job losses, and there is a need to emphasize to the public the essential services that civil servants provide. Looking ahead, the resilience of the US political system is in question. The 2026 legislative elections will be crucial, as Democrats must regain the House of Representatives at least to serve as a check on the administration. As for 2028, Democrats must nominate a strong candidate who resonates with voters, though securing such a candidate will be a significant challenge.
The Guarini Institute remains committed to fostering informed dialogue on critical political developments. As the political situation in the U.S. and beyond continues to evolve, the Guarini Institute will persist in its mission to promote constructive engagement and a deeper understanding of the challenges shaping our world.
(Tetiana Kozachanska)
